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FannieMae1 e1275063351689 Fannie Mae projecting 2012 home sales up 3.5% to 4.74 million
The housing sector will likely take incremental steps forward in 2012, though total originations will fall on fewer refinances, according to economists at Fannie Mae.

The second half of the year should outpace the first six months in terms of growth, though fiscal policy and political uncertainty in Washington will likely drive consumer and business activity, the mortgage giant said.

Chief Economist Doug Duncan said positive consumer activity and challenges in housing and the global economy will equate to moderate growth for the year.

“We’re entering 2012 with decent momentum, especially on the employment side, which is fostering positive household and consumer behavior,” Duncan said in a release. “Unfortunately, we expect this momentum to slow as we move through the first half of the year.”

The report released Friday forecast total home sales to increase 3.5% to about 4.74 million in 2012 from 2011 with another 5% gain in 2013 to nearly 5 million. New home sales could jump 10.4% for 2012.

The Federal Housing Finance Agency home sales price index, excluding refinances, could dip 1.1% for 2012 from a year before, according to the forecast. Economists predicted the 2011 index would finish 4.6% lower than 2010.

Mortgage originations as dollar volume could see a decline as well in 2012, largely on a steep drop in refinances. The Fannie report said total originations will fall to $1.01 trillion in 2012 from a predicted final 2011 tally of $1.36 trillion. Economists expected refinancing to plummet to $540 billion from $894 billion.

Purchase mortgages, however, will rise to $471 billion in 2012 from a estimated 2011 total of $464, according to the report.

Total single-family outstanding mortgage debt will likely drop 1.3% to $10.14 trillion in 2012.

For the U.S. economy as a whole, Fannie researchers predicted real GDP would increase 3.3% in the fourth quarter to finish the year at 1.7% growth. Economists forecast 2.3% GDP growth for 2012 and 2013.

Just as in 2011, in 2012 many will be trying to figure out where housing is headed.  While the housing market didn’t worsen in 2011, it also didn’t stabilize either.  This year, the story will be about local markets.  While many housing markets rose and fell together, they’re recovering at difference paces so talking about housing on a national level is not beneficial.

  1. Confidence and jobs: Housing is more affordable than it has been in decades, but many would-be buyers are worried about buying today if prices are going to be lower tomorrow.  Still, others don’t want to buy a house until they have more evidence that they’re not going to get laid off or see their hours cut back.
  2. Foreclosures: Banks and other mortgage investors own around 440,000 foreclosed properties, but there’s another 3.4 million loans in foreclosure or serious delinquency, according to estimates by Barclays Capital.  Because banks are faster to cut prices to unload inventory than are traditional sellers, home values can fall further as the share of distressed sales rises.
  3. Rents: If low mortgage rates aren’t enough to give urgency to would-be buyers, rent hikes could accelerate buyers’ decisions to take the plunge.
  4. Mortgage credit and rates: It’s still hard for many buyers to get approved for a mortgage because banks are demanding lots of documentation of borrowers’ incomes.
  5. Regulation: Many analysts don’t expect Congress to make major changes to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac during the election year, but several major regulatory changes could significantly reshape the future of the lending landscape in 2012.

Meanwhile, the regulator that oversees Fannie and Freddie is revamping the way that mortgage companies are paid for collecting loan payments.  This could lead to a broader shakeup in the mortgage industry that ultimately influences how much borrowers are charged for mortgages and how banks handle loans that fall into delinquency.

More questions we can help you, at County Properties, 25 years of brokerage experience, trust and a Member of the local Better Business Bureau! Want to know what your home is worth?

If you have equity in your home, we will sell your home and get top dollar in this challenging market with our  Internet Marketing and Sales Program. If you do not have enough equity, and you must sell your property as a short sale we have the expertise to do so also, go to www.ShortSaleRealtors4U.com

New Pro-Property Search. We will setup a customized search for you by our professional REALTOR® Team. Sit back relax and shop at home! We will make changes to your Pro-Property Search any time you like, just let us know. Have fun!

826492 1325103768680 o Warren Beatty and Annette Benings estate picture uh=1cebf396b813dd85217afa92bcc7ad67 ps=8ddea2686c725ef2c4926bc4d3794c8f 12431 Mulholland Dr Beverly Hills CA 90210 Warren Beatty and Annette Benings estate

The Hollywood power couple is looking for a renter for their Beverly Hills home. A spectacular Mediterranean manse, Beatty and Bening’s 6 bed, 8 bath home boasts French doors and windows overlooking beautiful lawns, a pool, and head-on city light views. With grandly scaled rooms, high ceilings, and a great flow, this place was made for large-scale entertaining. Perfect for the privacy-craving celeb set, the estate is nestled at the end of a long, gated driveway. We think the kids would definitely be alright here.  Just reduced the monthly rental price to $2500 per month.

San Diego County                                                            For Riverside County, Click Here

Back in the black or the green

by Arnie Levine on December 30, 2011

in Finance,Latest News,Real Estate news

More than 2.6 million households are at least 60 days delinquent on their mortgage payments, according to the nonprofit coalition Hope Now. While those who are delinquent 60-120 days can make back payments to help them become current, those who are more than two months behind may need to employ other means to catch up.

Beyond the obvious threat of foreclosure, falling behind on a mortgage can be costly:  Lenders charge late fees as well as legal and administrative costs, and the borrower’s credit score will suffer.  Experts say the sooner a delinquent borrower deals with the situation, the better the chances are of making a full economic recovery.

Borrowers who are determined to stay in their home but cannot immediately make back payments need to start by contacting their lender or a credit counselor to discuss available options.  Among them are devising a repayment plan, modifying the loan, doing a short sale, and adding what is owed back into the mortgage balance.

The first step borrowers should take is to assess their financial situation by looking at the amount of money brought in each month versus what is spent.  Many credit and housing counselors have worksheets on their websites to help with this.

Next, borrowers should collect pay stubs, documentation on other income, two years’ worth of tax returns, two months of saving and checking account statements, and mortgage records.  If the borrower has experienced a hardship, such as a layoff, a divorce, or an illness, they should gather evidence of that, such as unemployment insurance receipts, medical bills, a copy of a doctor’s letter to their employer, or a divorce decree.

Finally, borrowers should talk to their lender, servicer, or an adviser.   The federal Dept. of Housing and Urban Development certifies counseling agencies that provide free advice and assistance, and has a list of them on its website.  Counselors can offer alternatives and prepare a budget to see if the homeowner can afford to stay in the house.

Before agreeing to a repayment schedule, it is important homeowners understand how their lender treats partial payments.  Some credit partial payments toward the balance immediately, while others hold the money in a “suspend account” until the full amount is received.  Some will return the check to the borrower, and some will stop accepting payments after the mortgage is seriously delinquent.

If you have equity in your home, we will sell your home and get top dollar in this challenging market, go to County Properties Marketing Homes. If you do not have enough equity, and you must sell your property as a short sale we have the expertise to do so also and close escrow in 45-60 days or less. Learn more about mortgage relief options and how to take advantage of our FREE REALTOR (R)  CONSULTATION for loan modification and or selling .  or go to www.ShortSaleRealtors4U.com

More questions we can help you, at County Properties, 25 years of brokerage experience, trust and a Member of the local Better Business Bureau! Want to know what your home is worth? Click here for a free market evaluation !

By the way…if you know of someone who would appreciate the level of service in real estate we provide, please call me or have them go to www.CountyProperties.net and I’ll be happy to follow up and take great care of them.

Several tax changes will go into effect on Jan. 1, 2012 — some good, some not so good. Here are the most important changes you should know about:

Tax breaks that have been reduced for 2012

Several tax breaks will be reduced, but not eliminated, for 2012.

1. Bonus depreciation: During 2011 taxpayers can deduct in one year 100 percent of the cost of most types of personal property they buy for their businesses and place in service during the year. This amount is scheduled to lower to 50 percent for most types of property placed in service during 2012. However, it is possible that 100 percent bonus depreciation will be extended through 2012.

2. Section 179 expensing: For 2011, the maximum Code Section 179 deduction is $500,000, the highest it has ever been. The maximum Section 179 deduction will be reduced to $139,000 for 2012. Moreover, the 2012 limit will have to be reduced dollar for dollar by any amount by which the cost of Code Section 179 property placed in service during 2012 exceeds $560,000.

3. Employee transportation benefits: For 2011, an employer can provide up to $230 per month in tax-free transportation benefits — this includes transit passes or reimbursement for commuting to work by vanpool. Starting in 2012, the limit will be reduced to $125 per month.

Tax breaks that have been eliminated for 2012

Three widely used tax breaks will be eliminated entirely starting in 2012:

1. State and local sales tax deduction: For 2011, taxpayers can elect to deduct as an itemized deduction on their Schedule A (itemized deductions) state and local sales taxes, instead of state and local income taxes. This deduction is eliminated starting in 2012. This is bad news for taxpayers who live in states with no state income tax.

2. $4,000 education expense deduction: For 2011, taxpayers with modified adjusted gross income of $65,000 or less ($130,000 or less for joint returns) may deduct up to $4,000 of qualified education expenses paid during the year for themselves, their spouses, or their dependents.

Such expenses include tuition and mandatory enrollment fees to attend any accredited public or private institution above the high school level. This deduction is eliminated entirely for 2012.

3. Charitable Contributions: IRA (individual retirement account) owners age 70 1/2 and up can directly transfer up to $100,000, tax free, to eligible charities during 2011. This option, created in 2006, is available for distributions from IRAs regardless of whether the owners itemize their deductions. This provision is eliminated for 2012.

Tax breaks that have been expanded or extended

A couple of tax breaks have been expanded for 2012:

1. Hire a veteran, get a tax credit: If you hire an eligible unemployed veteran for your business during Nov. 22, 2011, through Dec. 31, 2012, you’ll qualify for an expanded work opportunity tax credit. This is a tax credit against income tax of up $5,600 (more for disabled veterans).

2. Reduced Social Security Taxes? During 2011, Social Security taxes are reduced to 10.4 percent up to the annual income ceiling, instead of the normal 12.4 percent. The U.S. Senate passed a two-month extension of the 2 percent reduction, but the House rejected the Senate bill.

However, most people believe that — one way or another — the 2 percent reduction will be extended through the end of 2012.

The information provided needs to be verified with you tax professional, for I am a realtor not a tax professional.

If you have equity in your home, we will sell your home and get top dollar in this challenging market, go to County Properties Marketing Homes. If you do not have enough equity, and you must sell your property as a short sale we have the expertise to do so also and close escrow in 45-60 days or less. Learn more about mortgage relief options and how to take advantage of our FREE REALTOR (R)  CONSULTATION for loan modification and or selling .  or go to www.ShortSaleRealtors4U.com

More questions we can help you, at County Properties, 25 years of brokerage experience, trust and a Member of the local Better Business Bureau! Want to know what your home is worth? Click here for a free market evaluation !

By the way…if you know of someone who would appreciate the level of service in real estate we provide, please call me or have them go to www.CountyProperties.net and I’ll be happy to follow up and take great care of them.

Howie Mandels House of the Week

by Arnie Levine on December 23, 2011

in Latest News,Real Estate news

3034337 1324324131391 o Howie Mandels House of the WeekFormer “Deal or No Deal” and current “America’s Got Talent” host Howie Mandel is looking to offload his Malibu mansion. This Nantucket-inspired masterpiece offers panoramic views of Santa Monica Bay and boasts an expansive lawn, huge outdoor patio, infinity pool, and guesthouse. The main home features 5 bedrooms, 5.5 bathrooms, an office, theatre, and gym. Mandel’s pad is also walking distance to Malibu‘s most pristine and secluded beaches.

Good Signs for the New Year

by Arnie Levine on December 23, 2011

in Finance,Latest News,Real Estate news

 Good Signs for the New YearGood Signs for the New Year

By Lawrence Yun, NAR Chief Economist

Here’s a change. Lately most of the dire economic news has been coming out of Europe: talk about the future of the Eurozone, whether or not the EU will hold together as an entity, and even some predictions that the euro may not survive as a currency. Some analysts in the U.S. are suggesting that problems in Europe are contagious and will doom our economy to another recession. But despite those European currency and economic troubles, a possibility of an economic recession in the upcoming year here in the U.S. looks less and less likely.

The key reason is the housing market recovery. After six years of a demoralizing and protracted housing market recession, a light is finally appearing at the end of the tunnel – and it is not a headlight from a freight-train. It is a genuine warm sunny glow. The latest pending home sales index – which reflects contract signings to purchase a home – rose more than 10 percent in October from the previous month and more than 9 percent from one year ago. Because the wide swings in sales related to the homebuyer tax credit are largely over, that year over year increase is a clean jump and not just a rise due to some artificially low comps of the past year. Clearly the data implies something is brewing out there. Yes, there are still cancellation issues related to appraisals, tight underwriting, and other issues. But buyers are evidently recognizing the great opportunity to own real estate and acting accordingly. Let’s examine several of the factors that suggest the worst is over.

First, existing home inventory has been trending downward consistently. The total number of homes listed for sale at the end of October was 3.3 million, down from 4.5 million in the middle of 2008. Remember, there are seasonal swings in the number of listings – with spring/summer months reflecting more home sellers (more listings) and autumn/winter months reflecting fewer sellers (fewer listings), so we still need to make proper seasonal adjustment comparisons. When we look just at the month of October during the past several years, this October registered the lowest inventory since 2005. The same was true for the month of September; September 2011 registered the lowest September inventory since 2005. Again, similar stories are seen for July and August of this year. In short, inventory has been running at six-year lows for several consecutive months. That is important to note, because lower inventory is a signal that price declines are coming to an end. In fact, the government measurement of home prices – from the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) – has risen in five out of the past six months, and home prices according to the FHFA are up two percent from their low point in March of this year. Other price data, such as that from Case-Shiller and NAR, have been moving both up and down with no consistent direction since 2009. In other words: prices have been roughly stable for the past three years.

Second, rents are rising and rent increases accelerating. The primary rent component of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) is up 2.4 percent from 12 months ago, but has been accelerating at 4.8 percent in the most recent monthly reading on an annualized basis. Rising rents will tip some renters into home buying, while real estate investors will have an added reason to own another property. According to The Economist magazine, the rent metric in the U.S. is such that home values are eight percent below justifiable levels.

Third, jobs are being added to the economy. Since the low point in early 2009, the economy has added 2.5 million net new jobs. Generally more jobs mean more home sales. So far, the extra jobs have not led to higher home sales. But to view it another way, pent up demand for housing has been growing and it is inevitable that home sales will have to tick higher with more jobs.

Fourth, mortgage rates are too low to pass up. While some financially qualified buyers are strategizing about the perfect time to enter the market in term of rates and home prices, these considerations are like picking up nickels and dimes when viewed from a far-off horizon. Consider what has happened in the past 30 years regarding the prices of consumer goods. On a broad basis, consumer prices have risen 160 percent from 1981 to 2011. Rent – and coincidentally gasoline prices – rose 200 percent. Home values rose 220 percent, even after accounting for the price declines during the recent housing downturn years. Medical care costs increased a whopping 400 percent. But even that increase was bested by the increase in college tuition which rose nearly 700 percent (which raises a number of questions about where the tuition monies go). One consumer item that did not rise in cost was the average monthly mortgage payment for those who took out a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage back in 1981.

What will happen over the next 30 years? If the cost of some of the above consumer items rises at a similar pace as in the past 30 years, then gasoline prices will run around $9 per gallon while the $20,000 college tuition of today will reach $140,000 per year. But one item which the consumer will not pay a nickel more is on their monthly mortgage payment. At the current median home price and current mortgage rate, the monthly mortgage payment would be fixed at $698 per month for the next 30 years. At the same time, home values likely will have tripled.

So, as we approach the end of 2011, I am fairly hopeful that our housing recovery is on the right track. Jobs are coming back, people are buying homes, home prices are stabilizing. All in all, not a bad way to end the old year, and start the new. Happy holidays!

Today’s buyers are looking for turnkey homes. That is, they want to move right in without having to do a lot of work. Buyers with busy lifestyles pay a premium for listings that are in prime condition. Staging can make the difference between a listing selling or not, the time it takes to sell, and the ultimate sale price.

Sellers who are financially strapped often have a hard time accepting that they’ll need to invest in preparing a house for sale even though they may sell for less than they paid. Fix-up costs can mount up; your agent can help you prioritize so that you don’t waste money. It’s important to keep your goal in mind, which is to sell your house in a difficult market.

Recently, a home in Piedmont, Calif., an affluent city neighboring Oakland, came on the market in “as is” condition. It had been lived in for decades without much upgrading. Although located in a desirable area, the listing was vacant, dark and showed poorly. The sellers refused to do any work to improve its appeal.

After months on the market with no significant interest, the sellers pulled the house off the market and made improvements. The wall-to-wall carpet was pulled up to reveal hardwood floors that were then refinished. Painters lightened the interior and a professional stager was hired to bring in furniture, artwork, house plants and accessories. The listing was put back on the market with a fresh look and sold right away.

HOUSE HUNTING TIP: Although listings staged by a good decorator show well and often sell quickly, you don’t need to spend a lot to put your home into shape for marketing. Most homeowners have too many personal possessions in their home from a sale standpoint. Decluttering is something most sellers need to do.

This can generate uncomfortable emotional responses. One seller, who was cleaning out the family home of 50 years, found a packet of love letters his father sent to his mother. Of course, he had to read all of them, which delayed his fix-up schedule.

Consider hiring someone to help you sort, pack, donate and recycle items that you no longer want. You may be able to take a tax deduction for things you donate. Make sure to get a receipt. Your real estate agent should be able to recommend someone who can help you clear your house of clutter if you are overwhelmed by the project.

The stager, may ask you to put away collections of art, personal photos, etc. This can be difficult for most sellers because, for them, it’s part of the emotional appeal of their home. Your house won’t look like your home after you’ve removed personal possessions and moved what’s left around to display the house to its best advantage.

That’s the point of the preparation process. You don’t want prospective buyers focusing in on your personal property; you want them to focus on the house. Keep in mind that how you live in your home and how it should look when it goes on the market are not the same.

Some sellers complain that their house looks too stark without all their possessions. Even so, it helps you to detach yourself emotionally from the property. Also, less personal property usually gives homes a more spacious feel. When buyers are looking for the most for their money, bigger is usually better.

To close the deal, a listing should be spotless and inviting. Bring in new house plants to put in strategic locations, like orchids in the bathrooms. In dark spots that need a dash of warmth and color, use bromeliads.

THE CLOSING: If you can’t pull this together yourself,  as your agent I can help you hire a good stager for a consultation or a proposal for full or partial staging.

More questions we can help you, at County Properties, 25 years of brokerage experience, trust and a Member of the local Better Business Bureau! Want to know what your home is worth?

If you have equity in your home, we will sell your home and get top dollar in this challenging market with our  Internet Marketing and Sales Program. If you do not have enough equity, and you must sell your property as a short sale we have the expertise to do so also, go to www.ShortSaleRealtors4U.com

New Pro-Property Search. We will setup a customized search for you by our professional REALTOR® Team. Sit back relax and shop at home! We will make changes to your Pro-Property Search any time you like, just let us know. Have fun!

 

Sales of existing homes rose 4% in November, according to the National Association of Realtors, which is revising its benchmarks for sales and inventory data since 2007.

The trade group said sales of single-family homes, townhomes, condos and co-ops increased to a seasonally adjusted rate of 4.42 million units from 4.25 million in October.

NAR said November existing home sales were 12.2% higher than 3.94 million a year ago.

Lawrence Yun, chief economist at NAR, said existing home sales reached a 10-month high in November, as people are taking advantage of a buyer’s market. Yun said the current pace is 34% higher than the middle of 2010, and “a genuine sustained sales recovery appears to be developing.”

Earlier Wednesday, CoreLogic  said home prices across the country are dropping as the glut of distressed properties continues to plague the real estate economy.

Potential homeowners also have access to the lowest mortgage interest rates in 40 years. Freddie Mac recently reported the average 30-year, fixed rate fell to 3.94% from 3.99% a week earlier and 4.83% a year ago.

“With record low mortgage interest rates and bargain home prices, NAR’s housing affordability index shows that a median-income family can easily afford a median-priced home,” according to Moe Veissi, president of the trade group and broker-owner of Veissi & Associates Inc. in Miami.

NAR said the median price of all homes sold in November was $164,200, down 3.5% from a year earlier. Sales of distressed properties accounted for 29% of all sales last month, which is up slightly from October and down from one-third of all sales a year earlier.

“With record low mortgage interest rates and bargain home prices, NAR’s housing affordability index shows that a median-income family can easily afford a median-priced home,” according to Moe Veissi, president of the trade group and broker-owner of Veissi & Associates Inc. in Miami.

NAR also revised benchmarks on existing home sales for the past four years. There were 4.19 million existing homes in 2010, which is down 14.6% from prior estimates of more than 4.9 million sales last year. The trade group lowered sales and inventory by 14.3% for 2007 through 2010, and expects the change to impact upcoming GDP revisions by the federal government.

The trade group said the housing inventory at Nov. 30 decreased to 2.58 million existing homes for sale, representing a seven-month supply, which is down from 7.7-months supply at Oct. 31.

“Since setting a record of 4.04 million in July 2007, inventories have trended down and supplies are moving close to price stabilization levels,” Yun said.

Single-family homes sales increased 4.5% in November to an annual rate of 3.95 million from 3.78 million a month prior and rose 13% from 3.5 million a year earlier. The median price of an existing single-family home dipped 0.2% to $164,100 in November.

County Properties, 25 years of brokerage experience, trust and a Member of the local Better Business Bureau! We offer free counseling in real estate regarding; home values and information on options of selling vs. Foreclosure.

Click here to get loan informationbefore the rates go up. To get started on viewing homes, condos, investment properties, pre-foreclosures, bank owned foreclosures (REO’s) or thinking of selling your property, please contact me today for free counseling at (619) 540-5811.

New Pro-Property Search. We will setup a customized search for you by our professional REALTOR® Team. Sit back relax and shop at home! We will make changes to your Pro-Property Search any time you like, just let us know. Have fun!

By the way…if you know of someone who would appreciate the level of service in real estate we provide, please call me or have them go to www.CountyProperties.net/ and I’ll be happy to follow up and take great care of them.

San Diego County                                                            For Riverside County, Click Here

debt eraser e1264459339913 Foreclosure counseling doubles your chances of mortgage modification 

 Borrowers who received foreclosure counseling through a national program were twice as likely to receive a modification, according to a study released Monday.

The Urban Institute evaluated roughly 800,000 homeowners who took help from the National Foreclosure Mitigation Counseling program from January 2008 through December 2009. NeighborWorks America administers the program with federal funds. 

The counselors are approved by the Department of Housing and Urban Development. They work on homeowner budgets and guide borrowers through the various options provided by the mortgage servicer to avoid foreclosure. 

Those who went through the program were at least 67% more likely to remain current within nine months of receiving a modification, according to the study. Borrowers who went through the program had their payment reduced by an average of $176 per month. 

Congress slashed funding for HUD housing counseling programs earlier in the year. The administration and the mortgage industry called for lawmakers to restore the money because of the more than 5 million homeowners who are at least 30 days delinquent, according to Lender Processing Services

In November, Washington restored some of the money, and HUD was allowed to grant $40 million to counselors. 

Eileen Fitzgerald, CEO of NeighborWorks America, said the program and others like it help homeowners and servicers alike by reducing redefaults. 

“In short, the personalized work nonprofit housing counselors do to help homeowners improve their overall financial situation had the greatest effect on a homeowner not falling behind again on their mortgages in the future,” Fitzgerald said.

If you do not have enough equity, and you must sell your property as a short sale we have the expertise to do so also and close escrow in 45-60 days or less. Learn more about mortgage relief options and how to take advantage of our FREE REALTOR (R)  CONSULTATION for loan modification and or selling .  or go to www.ShortSaleRealtors4U.com

If you have equity in your home, we will sell your home and get top dollar in this challenging market, go to County Properties Marketing Homes. More questions we can help you, at County Properties, 25 years of brokerage experience, trust and a Member of the local Better Business Bureau! Want to know what your home is worth? Click here for a free market evaluation !

By the way…if you know of someone who would appreciate the level of service in real estate we provide, please call me or have them go to www.CountyProperties.net and I’ll be happy to follow up and take great care of them.

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